🇺🇸 [EN]:
𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐲𝐥𝐯𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐚 𝐋𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬: Understanding End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
This special edition of the Transylvania Lectures series will welcome 𝐏𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐓𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐧, a complexity scientist who brings science to history. The pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics—the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history—is one of the most interesting social scientists of our age. In 2010, he predicted the social and political turmoil of the 2020s—not by intuition, but through rigorous scientific models.
His work blends biology, history, and mathematics to reveal long-term dynamics of human cooperation and disintegration. Drawing on over 25 years of research, Turchin’s latest book End Times is the culmination of his work which explores why political communities hold together or fall apart., applied to the current turmoil within the United States.
Professor Turchin and his team studied societal cycles of over 5,000 years and identified three key factors driving nations into crises: popular immiseration, elite overproduction, and state breakdown. According to their findings, the United States meets these conditions and is undergoing significant transformation—with implications for the entire world.
Currently his main research effort is directing the Seshat Databank project which builds historical datasets to test theories of societal evolution and collapse. He investigates a set of broad and interrelated questions: How do human societies evolve? In particular, what processes explain the evolution of ultrasociality—our capacity to cooperate in huge anonymous societies of millions? What processes are responsible for the resilience of complex societies? What causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart?
In 2021 he was elected Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). Turchin has authored ten books, his most recent are End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration (2023) and The Great Holocene Transformation (forthcoming). He is Editor-in-Chief of Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution.
His academic affiliations are: Project Leader of Social Complexity and Collapse, Complexity Science Hub, Vienna, Austria Research Associate, School of Anthropology, University of Oxford, UK Emeritus Professor of Evolutionary Biology, Anthropology, and Mathematics, University of Connecticut, USA.
Moderator: Magor Örs Köllő, software engineer, MCC alumnus. He holds a bachelor's degree in system engineering from the Technical University of Cluj-Napoca, a master's in business management from Babeș–Bolyai University, and he is completing a second master’s in Artificial Intelligence. He spent a semester at Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität in Munich, broadening his academic perspective. Currently, he works as a Lead Software Engineer at a fintech trading company, teaches STEM to talented youth at MCC, and leads an NGO that supports young people from disadvantaged backgrounds.
We kindly ask you to inform us of your intention to attend by filling in the form below:
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https://feliratkozas.mcc.ro/kolozsvar-tl-understanding-end-times
🇭🇺 [HU]:
𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐲𝐥𝐯𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐚 𝐋𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬: Megérteni a végidőket – Elit, kontraelit és a politikai szétesés útja
Különleges vendégelőadóval indul a Transylvania Lectures sorozat új évada Kolozsváron. 𝐏𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐓𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐧 komplexitáskutató korunk egyik legérdekesebb társadalomtudósa, újfajta tudományos módszerekkel közelíti meg a történelmet a kliodinamika úttörő, interdiszciplináris tudományágán keresztül. Már 2010-ben – nem megérzésből, hanem tudományos módszerekkel alátámasztva – jelezte a 2020-as évek társadalmi és politikai zűrzavarát.
Munkája a biológia, a történelem és a matematika ötvözésével tárja fel az emberi együttélés és széthúzás hosszú távú dinamikáit. Több mint 25 éves kutatás eredményeként született meg legújabb könyve, az End Times (Végidők), amely a politikai közösségek fennmaradásának vagy felbomlásának okait vizsgálja, különös tekintettel az Egyesült Államok mai helyzetére.
Peter Turchin és kutatócsoportja több mint 5000 év társadalmi ciklusait vizsgálta, és három kulcsfontosságú tényezőt azonosított, amelyek válságba sodorhatják a nemzeteket: az emberek elszegényedése, az elit túltermelődése és az állami apparátus összeomlása. Eredményeik szerint az Egyesült Államok mindhárom feltételnek megfelel, és jelentős átalakuláson megy keresztül, ennek következményei pedig az egész világra kihatnak.
A professzor fő kutatási projektje a Seshat Databank, amely történelmi adatbázisokat épít a társadalmi fejlődés és összeomlás elméleteinek tesztelésére. Jelenlegi kutatásai olyan kérdések köré épülnek, mint az emberi társadalmak fejlődése, a több milliós társadalmakbn való együttműködés kialakulása, az összetett társadalmak ellenállóképességének tényezői, valamint a politikai közösségek fennmaradása és összeomlása.
2021-ben az American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) tagjává választották. Tíz könyv szerzője, legutóbbi művei az End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration (2023), valamint a hamarosan megjelenő The Great Holocene Transformation. Főszerkesztője a Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution című szaklapnak.
Akadémiai tisztségei: a bécsi Complexity Science Hub Social Complexity and Collapse programjának projektvezetője, az Oxfordi Egyetem Antropológia Tanszékének tudományos munkatársa, valamint a Connecticuti Egyetem emeritus professzora evolúcióbiológia, antropológia és matematika területén.
Moderátor: Köllő Magor Örs, szoftverfejlesztő, az MCC alumnusa. Mérnöki alapképzését a Kolozsvári Műszaki Egyetemen végezte, üzleti menedzsment mesterdiplomáját a Babeș–Bolyai Tudományegyetemen szerezte, jelenleg második mesterképzését végzi a mesterséges intelligencia területén. A Müncheni Ludwig-Maximilians Egyetemen is tanult. Jelenleg vezető szoftvermérnökként dolgozik egy fintech kereskedési vállalatnál, természettudományos és műszaki ismereteket ad át tehetséges fiataloknak az MCC-nél, valamint egy civil szervezet vezetőjeként hátrányos helyzetű fiatalokat támogat.
A beszélgetés angol nyelven fog zajlani. Kérjük, részvételi szándékát az alábbi űrlapon jelezze:
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https://feliratkozas.mcc.ro/kolozsvar-tl-understanding-end-times
🇷🇴 [RO]:
𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐲𝐥𝐯𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐚 𝐋𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬: Înțelegerea sfârșitului unei epoci - Elite, contra-elite și drumul către dezintegrarea politică
Această ediție specială a seriei Transylvania Lectures îl va avea ca invitat pe 𝐏𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐓𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐧, cercetător în știința complexității, unul dintre cei mai interesanți oameni de știință socială ai vremurilor noastre. El este cofondator al cliodinamicii, un domeniu interdisciplinar inovator și revoluționar care abordează istoria prin metode științifice noi. În 2010, a prezis tulburările sociale și politice ale anilor 2020 – nu prin intuiție, ci prin modele științifice riguroase.
Activitatea sa îmbină biologia, istoria și matematica pentru a dezvălui dinamica pe termen lung a cooperării și dezagregării umane. Bazată pe peste 25 de ani de cercetare, cea mai recentă carte a sa, „End Times”, este o sinteză care investighează de ce comunitățile politice rezistă sau se destramă – aplicată asupra frământărilor actuale din Statele Unite.
Profesorul Turchin și echipa sa au studiat ciclurile societale pe o perioadă de peste 5000 de ani și au identificat trei factori principali care împing națiunile spre criză: declinul nivelului de trai, supraproducția de elite și prăbușirea structurilor statale. Conform concluziilor lor, Statele Unite îndeplinesc aceste condiții și trec printr-o transformare semnificativă cu implicații pentru întreaga lume.
În prezent, investighează un set de întrebări interconectate: Cum evoluează societățile umane? Ce procese explică capacitatea noastră de a coopera în societăți de milioane de oameni? Ce procese asigură reziliența societăților complexe? De asemenea, lucrează la proiectul Seshat Databank, care construiește baze de date istorice pentru a testa teoriile despre evoluția și dezintegrarea societăților. În 2021 a fost ales membru al American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). Este autorul a zece cărți, cele mai recente fiind End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration (2023) și The Great Holocene Transformation (în curs de apariție). Este redactor-șef al revistei Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution.
Funcțiile sale academice: lider de proiect al programului Social Complexity and Collapse la Complexity Science Hub din Viena, cercetător la School of Anthropology, University of Oxford, precum și profesor emerit de biologie evolutivă, antropologie și matematică la University of Connecticut.
Moderator: Magor Örs Köllő, inginer software, alumn MCC. A obținut licența în ingineria sistemelor la Universitatea Tehnică din Cluj-Napoca, un master în management la Universitatea Babeș–Bolyai, iar în prezent finalizează al doilea master în Inteligență Artificială. A petrecut un semestru la Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität din München. În prezent lucrează ca inginer software la o companie fintech, predă discipline STEM tinerilor talentați din cadrul MCC și conduce un ONG care sprijină tinerii proveniți din comunități dezavantajate.
Evenimentul se va desfășura în limba engleză. Intrarea este gratuită. Dacă doriți să participați vă invităm să completați formularul de mai jos:
👉
https://feliratkozas.mcc.ro/kolozsvar-tl-understanding-end-times
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