AI 2027 Predictions

AI 2027 is an essay that outlines one scenario for how artificial intelligence advancement might go. It was written by Daniel Kokotajlo, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, Romeo Dean, and perhaps most notably Scott Alexander, and makes a number of concrete predictions. I’m sure that over the next couple of years many people will point out where these predictions fall short- but if you’re going to criticize people for sticking their neck out and being wrong, it behooves you to stick your neck out at least as far.

Today we’re going to meet up and share our predictions. You’ll want to bring a phone or laptop, and have a Fatebook account. You’ll also want to have read AI 2027 before the meetup- we’ll be going over it again month by month, but we won’t be going slowly and you’ll want to be able to discuss it with people.